All eyes are on Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom this weekend. A few short years ago, the original Jurassic World exploded into theaters, taking the top spot of highest domestic grossing film in its opening weekend (until Star Wars: The Force Awakens took the crown half a year later). It has gone on to retain the No. 5 spot of all time worldwide box-office haul, behind Avatar, Titanic, Star Wars: The Force Awakens, and Avengers: Infinity War.

To add a bit more conflict to this narrative, it’s worth bringing up that since Jurassic World‘s release, there has been a real backlash against it. While well received almost immediately, audiences seem to have soured quickly on it, with many calling it a weaker film that Jurassic Park III. There’s nothing more some of these folks would like to see than for Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom to fail.

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So how is it faring? Thursday numbers are in, and it’s taken in a solid $15.3 million. This is slightly less than Spider-Man: Homecoming, which took in $15.4 million on its opening Thursday and went on to take $117 million in its opening weekend. But I know what you’re all thinking. How much did Jurassic World make? Three years ago, it took in $18.4 million on its opening Thursday before going on to take $208.8 million in its opening weekend.

So what can we take from this? Frankly, it’s hard to tell. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom follows a strong showing from Incredibles 2, so there’s no doubt there’s a bit of competition, even if the audiences don’t align perfectly. Based on these numbers, it seems like we can expect a sub-$117 million opening, but given how well-received Spider-Man: Homecoming was by critics, and that Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom is currently sitting at a middling 52% (the first film settled at 71%) on Rotten Tomatoes, I’d find it hard to believe that this will do much more than $100 million.

Could this film be the second one this year in a large franchise to disappoint? We’ll have to wait and see.

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SOURCE: Deadline