Last week, 20th Century Fox released the trailer for their upcoming superhero-comedy sequel Deadpool 2. As many had hoped, the film seemed to be chock-full of that trademark Deadpool humor we grew to love in the first one.

But given the huge surprise that first film was, did it stand a chance of holding a candle to that first one in terms of its box office performance? Box Office Pro has the projections for the April, and their answer to this unfair question is no. The numbers they’ve concocted amount to $100 million in its opening weekend of May 18, 2018, with its full domestic run topping off at $242 million.

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For comparison, Deadpool took in $132.4 million in its opening weekend and $363 million overall in North America. So, this is all bad news, right? Not quite. As mentioned above, it’s unfair to assume that a movie can replicate the success of its predecessor, especially when that film was such a surprise. It’s perfectly possible for the film to be successful without hitting its $783 million worldwide cume.

But that’s not all. As even the box office report states, the movie has no other franchise to compare to. Never has there been an R-rated comedy superhero franchise like this before in the past, and as such, we’re in uncharted territory. As such, this initial report may be completely off the mark.

We’ll be keeping an eye on this one as the film draws near, as the crux of the marketing hasn’t even hit yet. A month and a half is a long time, and anything can happen between now and then.

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SOURCE: Box Office Pro