Everyone, fans and detractors alike, are waiting to see what happens with Joker. The artsy take on the classic Batman villain, that will apparently take zero influence from the comics, is set to hit theaters on October 4th. There has been Oscar buzz for months despite only a few images and one trailer being released. The film’s debut at the upcoming Toronto International Film Festival has played into that buzz and is really raising expectations.
With all of that excitement and curiosity swirling around the film, it should be set for a record-breaking opening weekend right? Maybe! Boxoffice Pro has released their predictions for the film and they could challenge the October record of $80.2 million held by Venom. The outlet is predicting a three-day take between $60 and $90 million and a lifetime domestic gross of $175 million. Their reasoning behind these numbers deals a lot with the fact it’s rated R, comes relatively close to the mostly despised Suicide Squad version of the character, and the knowledge the film takes no cues from the source material. They do point out a few positive things though including the success of rated R films like Logan and Deadpool, the recent success of DC movies like Aquman and Shazam!, and the early excitement.
I think these numbers are low, at least the opening weekend ones. I think there is enough interest in this film that the lack of connection to the comics will be a non-issue for opening weekend. What will be the driving force behind this film’s success will be the word of mouth from fans. As for the critics, part of me thinks they will praise this film for simply not following the comic books and being different, but I also think they could not “get it” and score the film poorly. I think the critics will be on one extreme or the other. Fans… I am so interested in what the fans will say. Will the comic book purists enjoy this film? Will casual fans understand the films setting and story? The fan anticipated reactions are every bit as intriguing as the film itself.
If the film does well at the TIFF and the second trailer does as well as the first, I think we could push a $100 million opening. Then again, I thought Captain Marvel wouldn’t break $800 million worldwide…
What do you think of these box office predictions? Are they high or low? Let us know in the comments below!
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Source: Boxoffice Pro