What Film Will Win Best Picture At The Oscars This Weekend?

 

The 91st Annual Academy Awards will be bestowed on Sunday, February 25th, 2019 and perhaps one of the most interesting races to watch is for Best Picture. Often there are leading indicators that signal a favorite such as the winners of other guild awards like Director’s, Producer’s and Writer’s, but no clear trends have emerged, making predicting this year’s recipient particularly difficult!

The outcome is further confounded because of the way the Best Picture is voted upon. Voting is iterative, with every nominee being ranked #1 to #8. If a nominee has 50% or more the 1st place votes, it wins! But, more often than not there isn’t a majority and so the film with the least #1 votes is removed. For those lists, the #2 ranked film becomes that list’s #1 ranked film, and the votes are tabulated again. This repeats until there is a clear winner with a majority of #1 votes. This is why it’s often said that the picture that is universally liked well enough beats out films that are divisive.

A straw poll of the staff at LRM Online reveals that due to all these complications and factors many of them think BlacKkKlansman will win, but I’m personally putting my chips on Roma.

RELATED: Oscars Will Air Cinematography Awards After Push Back From Filmmakers

Below you’ll find some quick summaries of the 8 nominees for Best Picture, linked to our reviews. Who do you think will win??? Let us know in the comments below!

  1. A Star is Born: Romantic drama of two singers falling in love starring Bradley Cooper and Lady Gaga. A showcase for perhaps some of the best on-screen chemistry ever, coupled with a memorable soundtrack, gorgeous cinematography and awards-worthy performances.
  2. Black Panther: Adaptation of the popular Marvel comic highlighting the hidden, technologically advanced African nation of Wakanda and its internal struggles for both leadership and external identity. The film has been lauded for incredibly creating a rich intricate society with distinctive style.
  3. BlacKkKlansman: True story about a black cop in Colorado who helped infiltrate the local KKK branch. This dark comedy comes from directorial mastermind Spike Lee, who leverages his style to craft a narrative that is thought-provoking and entertaining.
  4. Bohemian Rhapsody: Energetic look into the rise of Freddie Mercury and his contributions to music, particularly as a member of the rock band Queen in the 1970s and 80s. While a fairly typical musical biography, the film includes a few interesting insights into the creation of Queen’s biggest hits and has an undeniably great soundtrack.
  5. Green Book: True story of a black pianist touring the deep south in the mid-1960s with his unrefined white driver. This is perhaps the feel-good movie of the year that simply has everything going for it including heartfelt characters, messages, and enough comedy to keep the proceedings light.
  6. Roma: Perhaps the most artistically beautiful film of 2018, this is a semi-autobiographical tale from director Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity) who presents life in Mexico through the eyes of a housemaid dealing with various personal struggles. The cinematography is astounding, and while the subject matter might be heavy, the visuals make the film a visceral experience.
  7. The Favourite: Eccentric comedy/drama period piece about two women competing for Queen Anne’s attention in 18th century England. While unabashed a little weird and strange, hosts some of the best acting and funniest moments of 2018 from the film’s three leading ladies.
  8. Vice: An inside look at the life of Dick Cheney. From the director of The Big Short, this is yet another quirky way of taking a complicated topic/person and finding an entertaining and palatable way to present the historical material.

Vote for what movie you think will win in the comments below!

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Fox Troilo

Fox serves as an entertainment journalist in the Washington, D.C. When not covering cinematic news for LRM, he critiques films as a member of the Washington D.C. Area Film Critics Association. Fox also has a Ph.D. in Higher Education and Strategy from Indiana University Bloomington.

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